Back in 1992, Microsoft was still a new company, and Tom Brokaw sat down with 35 year old Bill Gates, who discussed the future, including the advent of “electronic mail.” Follow up interview here.
Back in 1992, Microsoft was still a new company, and Tom Brokaw sat down with 35 year old Bill Gates, who discussed the future, including the advent of “electronic mail.” Follow up interview here.
When I clicked the link, it said a transcript of the interview is not available, so I’ll comment without having the benefit of the article.
Gates was never an especially good forecaster. Micro$oft didn’t make its money by being innovative, it made its money by being a ‘fast follower’ — basically stealing successful ideas from other companies (Apple) and then using its dominant market position (and proprietary operating system) to hijack profits. Even today Gates is still not a forward thinker. On an interview on Charley Rose this week, Gates showed himself to be a perfect example of someone who owns a hammer and, therefore, believes the world is nothing but a box of nails. He spoke at length about how the world will need software and how Micro$oft is a great software company, but it’s already playing catch-up to companies like Apple and Samsung (and Google, and Amazon, and….), and those companies are not looking back. Even open-source products are gaining market share on Micro$oft, not just in operating systems (Linux) but office apps as well (OpenOffice).