Hear No Facts, See No Facts.

At the Wall Street Journal, Ayaan Hirsi Ali writes that many of the most vocal players in our re-energized race debates are incentivized to maintain conflict rather than seeking solutions. I have seen what Ali has seen about the the resistance to facts and statistics when these things are inconvenient to the narrative of choice by those supporting the Black Lives Matter political agenda (which is separate and distinct from the idea that Black lives do, of course, matter). Whenever there is such a disconnect between narrative and evidence, that is a big red ultra-suspicious flag.

Here are a few dozen other issues and facts courtesy of Sam Harris (Making Sense Podcast Transcript: "Can We Pull Back From the Brink") that the reform movement not only ignores, but intensely refuses to consider. Why doesn't BLM's website take a careful look at available statistics regarding policing on its website?  If it did, BLM would find significant support for the claim that police harass Blacks more often than non-Blacks, but they would not find evidence that police use lethal force against Blacks disproportionately.

If the people insisting on reform refuse to first discuss the facts on the ground--a vigorous exploration the facts, pro and con--why should the rest of us--the country at large--trust that movement?

Here is an excerpt from Ali's WSJ article:

Although I am a black African—an immigrant who came to the U.S. freely—I am keenly aware of the hardships and miseries African-Americans have endured for centuries. Slavery, Reconstruction, segregation: I know the history. I know that there is still racial prejudice in America, and that it manifests itself in the aggressive way some police officers handle African-Americans. I know that by measures of wealth, health and education, African-Americans remain on average closer to the bottom of society than to the top. I know, too, that African-American communities have been disproportionately hurt by both Covid-19 and the economic disruption of lockdowns.

Yet when I hear it said that the U.S. is defined above all by racism, when I see books such as Robin DiAngelo’s “White Fragility” top the bestseller list, when I read of educators and journalists being fired for daring to question the orthodoxies of Black Lives Matter—then I feel obliged to speak up.

The problem is that there are people among us who don’t want to figure it out and who have an interest in avoiding workable solutions. They have an obvious political incentive not to solve social problems, because social problems are the basis of their power. That is why, whenever a scholar like Roland Fryer brings new data to the table—showing it’s simply not true that the police disproportionately shoot black people dead—the response is not to read the paper but to try to discredit its author.

I have no objection to the statement “black lives matter.” But the movement that uses that name has a sinister hostility to serious, fact-driven discussion of the problem it purports to care about. Even more sinister is the haste with which academic, media and business leaders abase themselves before it. There will be no resolution of America’s many social problems if free thought and free speech are no longer upheld in our public sphere. Without them, honest deliberation, mutual learning and the American problem-solving ethic are dead.

Continue ReadingHear No Facts, See No Facts.

Being Bad at Math Gives Us Freedom

Math proficiency is a superpower that allows us see into the future and to understand the past. Only 41% of our 4th graders and 34% of 8th graders are math proficient.

Being BAD at math gives people the freedom and confidence to say things that are blatantly untrue with a straight face. Being BAD at math gives us the super-power to laugh at those who have carefully proven their cases with math. Being bad at math gives us the super-freedom to "prove" complex claims with mere anecdotes.

Every day it becomes clearer to me that our innumeracy explains much of our country's rampant dysfunction.

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It Was Easy to Backup My PC Computer With Acronis 2018. It Was Much More Difficult to Restore From a Backup

It's been a frustrating week for my law firm's IT Department (I am my own IT department).  My generic desktop PC's ability to use Wifi stopped working. I tried various repairs, but after nothing worked, I decided to restore my computer a few days back with a backup program called Acronis 2018.  I had been diligently making backups for the past couple years with this program, but I was living in blissful ignorance. This week, I attempted a full metal-to-metal restore twice but it twice failed.  I was also confused by the entire Acronis process. It wasn't entirely clear to me how to make the boot disk or whether a boot disk was necessary.  For my third try, I contacted Acronis support.  No live people were available on a voice line unless you were willing to pay an additional $20.  A support person on a chat line had seen my several previous emails to Acronis discussing my concerns and questions, as well as my failures.

This person on the chat line walked me through the restore, step by step.  This took an hour.  After the restore was underway, he assured me that when it was finished, my computer would look exactly like it did when I last backed it up.  When the restore was complete, however, my PC screen read:  "RESTORE FAILED."   The Acronis people responded again when I reported this failure by email, but they were asking me to refer to computer logs when my computer would display one and only one screen: "RESTORE FAILED." No thanks. I had given up on Acronis, especially after spending 8 hours trying to get these restores to work. 

Luckily, Dropbox and Onedrive were working like champs, so most of my data was safe. But this episode was a big frustration for me.  My work around was to purchase an iMac. I appreciate Apple's Time Machine more than ever.  Easy to use and bulletproof.  And here are my words of warning.  If you buy a new backup program, find some way to test it before relying on it.  I don't know whether there actually a way to do a test restore.  I personally wouldn't want to mess with my PC like this. It takes too much damned work and if it fails, you'll be up shit creek without paddle.  I have used Time Machine on other Macs over the years, and it has been bulletproof.  Apple's Time machine is one of the most impressive apps out there.  That's where my money is now. 

Continue ReadingIt Was Easy to Backup My PC Computer With Acronis 2018. It Was Much More Difficult to Restore From a Backup

Dr. Diana Fleischman Discusses Sex Differences Between Men and Women

You are invited to join this lively discussion with Dr. Diana Fleischman. The topic: significant biological and psychological sex differences between men and women.

One of the most stunning differences discussed in this video was described in Attraction Explained: The science of how we form relationships, By Viren Swami:

In classic studies conducted by Russell Clark and Elaine Hatfield between 1978 and 2003, college students were approached by a fairly attractive member of the opposite sex, who was really a confederate of the researchers. This confederate would hang around campus and, once a target had been selected, she or he would walk up to the target and say, ‘I have been noticing you around campus. I find you to be very attractive’. Next, the confederate would ask one of three questions: (l) Will you go on a date with me? (2) Will you come back to my apartment? or (3) Will you have sex with me?

For the first question, there was no clear sex difference - across studies, 56 per cent of women and 50 per cent of men accepted the date. But for the other questions, which could be interpreted as questions about casual sex, there were clearer sex differences. For the question about going back to the confederate’s apartment, 69 per cent of men consented compared to only 6 per cent of women. And for the final, 75 per cent of men agreed to sex, while not a single woman said yes to sex. In fact, every time the study was repeated, not a single woman agreed to sex at any time. In a more recent study, fairly attractive psychology students approached a member of the opposite sex in public places in four cities in Denmark and asked: (l) Would you go on a date with men tonight or during the week/weekend? (2) Would you come over to my place tonight or during the week/weekend? or (3) Would you go to bed with me tonight or during the week/weekend? When individuals in relationships were excluded from the count, 68 per cent of men and 43 per cent of women agreed to a date, 40 per cent of men and 21 per cent of women agreed to go to the student’s place, and 59 per cent of men but none of the women agreed to casual sex.

There are many other differences between the sexes discussed by Dr. Fleishman. It's important to add some context to these sex difference studies, however.  Yes, there are differences, and many of these seem dramatic, but men and women are not from different planets.  They are extremely similar in many ways.  How many?  Hundreds of ways, as documented by Donald E. Brown.  All of us are mostly the same. 

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Happy Neanderthal Father’s Day

I'm speaking up for the much-maligned Neanderthals today on this Father's Day, but not merely because many of us have a bit (1 to 2%) of Neanderthal DNA in our chromosomes and not merely because this population lasted until only 25,000 years ago. It's mostly because I just now stumbled upon this pretty cool Neanderthal reconstruction by Tom Bjorklundart of what a Neanderthal parent and child might have looked like.

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