About the Illusion of Information Adequacy

What happens when to a person who fails to expose themselves to only a few "news" sources? What does it do to their world view when they fail to take affirmative steps to engage with a broadbased news ecosystem that includes viewpoints they disagree with? For instance, what happens when they only follow legacy (corporate) news outlets? What happens when they refuse to consider independent journalists? What I've noticed is that they are much more confident in their opinions, not less. What's going on? At X, Owen Gregoian offers an explanation of the "Illusion of of information adequacy." Excerpt:

Why We’re Confident with Only Half the Story | Neuroscience News

Summary: A new study reveals that people often overestimate the amount of information they have when making decisions, a phenomenon researchers call the “illusion of information adequacy.”

Participants who were only given partial information about a situation were just as confident in their decisions as those who had the complete story. They believed they had enough facts and thought others would likely make the same choice. However, when some participants were later presented with the opposing view, many were open to changing their decision, suggesting that having more complete information can bridge misunderstandings.

Key Facts

- People feel confident in decisions, even with only partial information.

- This “illusion of information adequacy” leads to overconfidence in judgments.

- Additional information often leads to more informed, balanced decision-making.

Source: Ohio State University

Of course, the same problems result with the government or the legacy news consortium limit your access to alternate viewpoints. In these circumstances we are fooled by a false consensus. It looks like everyone agrees, but this is only because everyone else has been censored. That leads to such things as allowing others to put a dangerous so-called vaccine into your arm.  When free speech is limited, it leads to things like this:

Continue ReadingAbout the Illusion of Information Adequacy

Ships Passing in the Night

I once canvassed for Bernie. Some people who then respected me for those political views now think I'm a right wing zealot. How do I convince them that because they limit their news diet to legacy outlets NYT/CNN/MSNBC/NPR/WP, that their minds have been hacked, for years, by hundred of billions of dollars of CIA propaganda (including through CIA cutout USAID), that they know almost nothing about what has really been going on and that their current state of willful ignorance disqualifies them from participating in meaningful conversation?

Today I posted this on FB: One more from Mike Benz. The fingerprints of the CIA are all over Burisma, where the completely unqualified Hunter Biden sat on the board pulling down $80K/month. If you are still limiting your news diet to NYT/WP/CNN/MSNBC/NPR, you are committing citizenship malpractice. Luckily, the evidence of corruption is pouring out into the public eye at an astounding rate. If you are not actively digesting independent news sources, however, you are almost totally in the dark. That is why I don't respond to most comments here. I can easily see who has been captured by corporate news. You aren't required to kick your addiction to NYT/WP/CNN/MSNBC/NPR, but if you don't, you will remain someone else's sucker. You will be abdicating self-autonymy. That said, it might not be your choice anymore. It might not be your fault in any meaningful way because the tools they have been using on us are extremely sophisticated and they are ubiquitous. Here's one clue: If you have decided that anyone is radioactive (that you should never listen to anything they say or to any questions they are asking), the deep state has you exactly where they want you. Luckily, critical formerly suppressed information is now pouring into the public light. I sincerely hope that many of you start your red-pill journey ASAP.

Continue ReadingShips Passing in the Night

Another Oopsie in Favor of the Narrative by Legacy Media

This is not a new low for legacy media. This is what they do all day every day. They are serving their masters. Journalism has absolutely nothing to do with how they handle stories with political implications.

Continue ReadingAnother Oopsie in Favor of the Narrative by Legacy Media

Reframing Anxiety as the Exciting Opportunity to Support the Eternally Radical Idea of Free Speech

Greg Lukianoff offers a history lesson starting with Henry VIII's battle with the effects of the printing press. He then turns his attention toward those who seek censorship as the remedy for feeling anxious at ever-new revelations that many of our institutions (including colleges) are dysfunctional, even corrupted to such an extent that they are betraying their stated missions:

What’s happening now is why the free and open exchange of ideas will always be radical. Yes, what the future is going to look like seems a lot less clear. Yes, we’re living through a crisis of authority. Yes, we’re questioning the legitimacy and necessity of our institutions. But those institutions and authorities don't deserve our blind loyalty. And they showed their cards when they went after the eternally radical idea — when they answered “the problem” of free speech with new speech codes, byzantine taboos, and cancellation campaigns.

The institutions and individuals that stand the test of this era will be those who show integrity and principle, those who tell the truth even when it’s inconvenient or unpopular. That’s what happened in the Enlightenment with figures like Voltaire and Diderot, Smith and Hume, Franklin and Madison. It’s also what we’re seeing now on platforms like Substack, where individuals and institutions with integrity and courage are finding new ways to lead.

I’m proud to say that FIRE is one of those institutions. We've had the courage to be non-partisan in a partisan world. Through all the tumult, we’ve defended free speech, free inquiry, and the free press for all — even at the cost of some uncomfortable Thanksgiving and Christmas dinners.

Democratic principles become even more essential during times of crisis, not less. History shows us that these principles are not luxuries. No, they are the foundations of a successful and dynamic society. The Enlightenment didn’t feel like the Enlightenment when it started. To most people, it probably felt like blasphemy, heresy, and chaos. And to Henry VIII, it probably felt like quite a bit of nasty gossiping.

But freedom always feels a little scary. Free speech is the eternally radical idea, after all.

Here’s a cognitive hack I like to teach my kids: you can reconceptualize fear as excitement. And remember, I have a well-documented history of dealing with anxiety. I know what I’m talking about here. So while I don’t blame anyone for feeling anxious right now, I also hope they feel exhilarated. What’s happening in this moment is thrilling: It is the chance to reexamine everything we thought we knew.

I invite you to read Lukianoff's full essay, "Institutional decay, Henry VIII’s big fat libido, and the eternally radical idea: When you add billions of eyes to the problems of the world, the result is not just noise but incredible breakthroughs."

Continue ReadingReframing Anxiety as the Exciting Opportunity to Support the Eternally Radical Idea of Free Speech

Tulsi Gabbard’s Indictment of the US Deep State

Tulsi Gabbard's opening indictment of the US deep state is spot on and factually uncontroversial, yet it will infuriate those who have have decided that their tribe is more important than their duty to think for themselves, Like so many others (including me), Tulsi was a longtime Democrat who became disgusted at the corruption of the Democratic party.

And for those who haven't yet seen Chuck Schumer's statement:

Continue ReadingTulsi Gabbard’s Indictment of the US Deep State