The Risk of Nuclear War is Skyrocketing and Few Seem to Notice

The Ukraine war began Feb 24, 2020. Based on the above estimates, in only 8 months, the risk of nuclear war has increased somewhere between 400% and 2500%. Shouldn't this threat of annihilation be on the headline of every newspaper every day? Shouldn't the cost-benefit analysis of U.S. involvement have been discussed in open hearings in Congress before the U.S. jacked up the risk that we will all die for a territorial dispute involving a country most Americans couldn't have located on a map one year ago?

Is the problem that I'm in my 60s and I remember the terror we all felt during the Cuban Missile crisis? Is it that we are now a generation hooked on video games and violent movies, such that things always work out in the end (or if not, we hit the reboot button or wait for the next episode)?

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Tulsi Gabbard Leaves the Democrat Party

Here are Tulsi Gabbard's reasons for leaving the Democrat Party, based on a mass emailing I received:

I can no longer remain in today’s Democratic Party that is now under the complete control of an elitist cabal of warmongers driven by cowardly wokeness, who divide us by racializing every issue and stoke anti-white racism, actively work to undermine our God-given freedoms enshrined in our Constitution, are hostile to people of faith and spirituality, demonize the police and protect criminals at the expense of law-abiding Americans, believe in open borders, weaponize the national security state to go after political opponents, and above all, are dragging us ever closer to nuclear war.

I believe in a government that is of the people, by the people, and for the people. Unfortunately, today’s Democratic Party does not. Instead, it stands for a government of, by, and for the powerful elite.

I’m calling on my fellow common sense independent minded Democrats to join me in leaving the Democratic Party. If you can no longer stomach the direction that so-called woke Democratic Party ideologues are taking our country, I invite you to join me.

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Matt Taibbi: Truly, Give Peace a Chance

Matt Taibbi urges that we give peace a chance, especially in light of the abysmal track record of America's war hawks.

We spend a trillion dollars a year on war and none on nonviolence.…

The “domino theory” we used to justify invading Vietnam had roots in Munich conference nightmares of inevitable world domination.… Over the years we similarly invoked Hitler before attacking Iraq (which left Mesopotamia a borderless 8th-century outpost and spurred a horrific refugee problem) and Libya (which replaced a brutal dictator with no government at all), to say nothing of interventions big and small in Syria, Serbia, Iran, and other spots around the globe, often based on similarly dubious terrors about the peril of affronts to American “credibility.” Something like domino-theory fear was behind the post-1991 idea that we needed to meddle in Russian elections (to prevent the spread of communism anew) and push NATO as close to Russia’s borders as possible.…

When Vladimir Putin invaded Ukraine, the members of this militarist tribe weren’t sad. They were animated as hell and motivated suddenly to churn out Atlantic editorials celebrating the end of the malaise that for about ten minutes hovered over the cause of American power projection after Afghanistan’s collapse. They still suffer from the disease of modern American thought that endorses “regime change” as a solution to every real or imagined security threat, a reflex that, in case anyone forgot, has ended in tears every time it’s been tried in real life. They believe this is the only road out of the Russia-Ukraine mess. They’re welcome to that belief, but those of us who’d like to note their long track records of being not just wrong but insanely so should be able to express ourselves without being branded traitors. Yes, this time it really could be 1938. It could also be 1914, when a chain-reaction of lunatic escalations spun a localized conflict into a global conflagration costing millions of senseless deaths.…

All those disasters took place because both American and Russian societies are built on war as an organizing principle, and this is where John and Yoko were right: we should give peace a chance. We spend a trillion dollars a year on war and none on nonviolence. This problem is visible in Ukraine policy. People who aren’t trained in conflict resolution but are propagandized to believe in idiocies like the “surgical strike” or “acceptable losses” always think even the thorniest political problems have tactical solutions. They’re more likely to play chicken with nuclear annihilation, maybe by blowing up a pipeline, then risk looking weak via a cease-fire proposal.… Anyone who says this is an easy call has not thought this through, especially given our atrocious record when it comes to trying to to decrease international tension through the use of force. By any measure, we suck at it, and unlike previous wars, we can’t afford to screw this one up.

Either way, the hawks being in charge for so long, and beating the drum for campaigns like Russiagate, means there’s no longer a back channel to negotiate an end to what even the president is calling a new Cuban Missile Crisis. Even Biden is murmuring about maybe giving Putin an “off-ramp” to end this thing, but if pundits have their way, that will never happen. They’d prefer escalation, despite the fact that the next step is world war. These people are crazy, and we should be allowed to say so. Could peaceniks really do worse?

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