Sales, By the Book

At one point in my life, I was thinking of writing a non-fiction book. It's something I always wanted to do. My plan was to use some of the articles I've written for this website as a foundation.  But then I looked at the average sales of non-fiction books from this article:  "The 10 Awful Truths about Book Publishing." Ugh.

3. Despite the growth of e-book sales, overall book sales are still shrinking. After skyrocketing from 2008 to 2012, e-book sales leveled off in 2013 and have fallen more than 10% since then, according to the AAP StatShot Annual 2015. Unfortunately, the decline of print sales outpaced the growth of e-book sales, even from 2008 to 2012. The total book publishing pie is not growing—the peak sales year was in 2007—yet it is being divided among ever more hundreds of thousands of print and digital books.

4. Average book sales are shockingly small—and falling fast. Combine the explosion of books published with the declining total sales and you get shrinking sales of each new title. According to BookScan—which tracks most bookstore, online, and other retail sales of books (including Amazon.com)—only 256 million print copies were sold in 2013 in the U.S. in all adult nonfiction categories combined (Publishers Weekly, January 1, 2016). The average U.S. nonfiction book is now selling less than 250 copies per year and less than 2,000 copies over its lifetime.

5. A book has far less than a 1% chance of being stocked in an average bookstore. For every available bookstore shelf space, there are 100 to 1,000 or more titles competing for that shelf space. For example, the number of business titles stocked ranges from less than 100 (smaller bookstores) to up to 1,500 (superstores). Yet there are several hundred thousand business books in print that are fighting for that limited shelf space.

It's stunning to me that the total number of copies of non-fiction print books sold each year is less than the number of Americans.  Someday I might again reverse, but these numbers put the kibosh on my book-publishing passion.  For now, It's good to know that I have a website where I can publish my ongoing, evolving, thoughts on a number of topics.  I can write about anything that interests me.  At a minimum, it serves as a personal diary.  As a bonus, there is a fair amount of traffic coming to the site, which leads me to hope that some others are finding some of my thoughts to be useful.  I started this website in 2006 and it has served well as a platform for developing my ideas and interacting with others who show an interest.

I have a lot of new ideas I've been working on (including many dichotomies that I had intended to feature in my book). Most of these ideas concern cognitive science and philosophy. If my work life cooperates,  I'll be carving out more time in a typical day to work on my ideas - - I hope to publish more ideas to which I can lay personal claim, though everything I write is with a heavy debt to hundreds or thousands of other people I've encountered in person or through their writings.

Onward!

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Why Are So Many People Voting for Donald Trump?

I won't be voting for Trump, but I'm still concerned he might win re-election. I think many people feel similarly -- otherwise, why do so many people keep talking about the election and the polling? I've often wondered why so many people will vote for Trump, despite his many cataclysmic negative personal qualities. I'm glad that Chloe Valdary asked Trump voters to respond to her Twitter account by stating why they support Trump. She has received more than 300 responses that I found interesting to review. These responses don't change my mind about Trump, but I do see many Trump supporters in a different light.

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Bertrand Russell’s Test: Is your Belief Based on Reason?

Bertrand Russell had this to say:

If you think that your belief is based upon reason, you will support it by argument, rather than by persecution, and will abandon it if the argument goes against you. But if your belief is based on faith, you will realize that argument is useless, and will therefore resort to force either in the form of persecution or by stunting and distorting the minds of the young in what is called ‘education.’This last is peculiarly dastardly, since it takes advantage of the defencelessness of immature minds. Unfortunately it is practised in a greater or less degree in the schools of every civilized country.
Human Society in Ethics and Politics - 1954

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Evolutionary Biologist Colin Wright Offers Mini-Lecture on the Science of Sex and Gender

I've enjoyed watching some of the podcasts of British stand-up comedians Konstantin Kisin and Francis Foster. This episode features Quillette's Managing Editor, Colin Wright, who is also an evolutionary biologist. The topic: the science of of sex and gender, sexual dysphoria, transgender issues, navigating Woke influence at universities and at large. Excellent discussion focusing on basic scientific terms, Woke pushback and new strategic political alliances in order to seek intellectual progress.

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