Comments on: How undependable are the experts? http://dangerousintersection.org/2009/03/26/how-undependable-are-the-experts/ Human Animals at the Crossroads of Culture, Science, Religion and Media Sun, 21 Mar 2010 05:12:44 +0000 http://wordpress.org/?v=2.7.1 hourly 1 By: Niklaus Pfirsig http://dangerousintersection.org/2009/03/26/how-undependable-are-the-experts/comment-page-1/#comment-37407 Niklaus Pfirsig Fri, 27 Mar 2009 21:38:56 +0000 http://dangerousintersection.org/?p=5715#comment-37407 I think meteorologists may be considered more accurate that any of the others, since they base their forecasts on a statistical analysis of regional conditions and historical data. Which is why the forecasts list probabilities for rain, instead of saying that it will rain. Part of the problem is that the general population, from being mentally numbed by a steady diet of video games and "reality" TV programming, are not capable on understanding statistical theory. The lack of understanding is used and abused by those with an agenda. Many of the experts are simply no better than the hair tonic salesman in "Sweeney Todd" I think meteorologists may be considered more accurate that any of the others, since they base their forecasts on a statistical analysis of regional conditions and historical data. Which is why the forecasts list probabilities for rain, instead of saying that it will rain. Part of the problem is that the general population, from being mentally numbed by a steady diet of video games and “reality” TV programming, are not capable on understanding statistical theory. The lack of understanding is used and abused by those with an agenda.

Many of the experts are simply no better than the hair tonic salesman in “Sweeney Todd”

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